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2017 Clear Harbor Flash

House Passes the American Health Care Act

May 17, 2017

On May 4, 2017, the House of Representatives passed the American Health Care Act (AHCA). With some changes, this is essentially the same law that was pulled from consideration by the House back in March. Compared to the Affordable Care Act (ACA or Obamacare), the AHCA repeals the health insurance mandate for both individuals and large employers; caps Medicaid funding to states beginning in 2020; eliminates several ACA taxes, including those applicable to high-wage earners; and replaces tax credits and subsidies based on income with tax credits based on age and income. The House passed the AHCA prior to an updated analysis from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) as to the budgetary effects of the law.

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The Uncertainty Paradox

May 7, 2017

“Doubt is not a pleasant condition, but certainty is an absurd one.”
—Voltaire

“The market hates uncertainty” has been a common enough saying in recent years, but how logical is it? There are many different aspects to uncertainty, some that can be measured and some that cannot. Uncertainty is an unchangeable condition of existence. As individuals, we can feel more or less uncertain, but that is a distinctly human phenomenon. Rather than ebbing and flowing with investor sentiment, uncertainty is an inherent and ever-present part of investing in markets.

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Geopolitical Uncertainty...Market Complacency?

February 10, 2017

Headlines of late seem to describe two different planets at once. In the financial pages, we have seen equity indices march to new highs, and indications of volatility trend toward historically low levels. Yet in the geopolitical sphere, we see a reawakening of concerns not entertained in some cases since the Cold War—and in others since the days of Smoot-Hawley.

Amid such newfound political uncertainties, is it wrong to ask if complacency might be elevated among market participants? At Clear Harbor, we believe it is irresponsible not to.

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