Clear Harbor Asset Management - New York, NY

420 Lexington Ave, Suite 2006
New York, NY 10170

Call Us: (212) 867-7310

2017 Clear Harbor Flash

The Uncommon Average

The US stock market has delivered an average annual return of approximately 10% since 1926.[1] But short-term results may vary, and in any given period stock returns can be positive, negative, or flat. When setting expectations,...

READ MORE

Economic Growth and Equity Returns

August 25, 2017

A relevant question for many investors is whether their view of economic growth should impact how they invest. Opinions about future economic growth often differ across market participants. For example, in a survey of more than 60...

READ MORE

House Passes the American Health Care Act

May 17, 2017

On May 4, 2017, the House of Representatives passed the American Health Care Act (AHCA). With some changes, this is essentially the same law that was pulled from consideration by the House back in March. Compared to the Affordable Care Act (ACA or Obamacare), the AHCA repeals the health insurance mandate for both individuals and large employers; caps Medicaid funding to states beginning in 2020; eliminates several ACA taxes, including those applicable to high-wage earners; and replaces tax credits and subsidies based on income with tax credits based on age and income. The House passed the AHCA prior to an updated analysis from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) as to the budgetary effects of the law.

READ MORE

The Uncertainty Paradox

May 7, 2017

“Doubt is not a pleasant condition, but certainty is an absurd one.”
—Voltaire

“The market hates uncertainty” has been a common enough saying in recent years, but how logical is it? There are many different aspects to uncertainty, some that can be measured and some that cannot. Uncertainty is an unchangeable condition of existence. As individuals, we can feel more or less uncertain, but that is a distinctly human phenomenon. Rather than ebbing and flowing with investor sentiment, uncertainty is an inherent and ever-present part of investing in markets.

READ MORE

Geopolitical Uncertainty...Market Complacency?

February 10, 2017

Headlines of late seem to describe two different planets at once. In the financial pages, we have seen equity indices march to new highs, and indications of volatility trend toward historically low levels. Yet in the geopolitical sphere, we see a reawakening of concerns not entertained in some cases since the Cold War—and in others since the days of Smoot-Hawley.

Amid such newfound political uncertainties, is it wrong to ask if complacency might be elevated among market participants? At Clear Harbor, we believe it is irresponsible not to.

READ MORE